Wait: likely t in years, T(t) in °C added. So T(50) = 0.15×(50)² + 0.1×50 = 0.15×2500 + 5 = 375 + 5 = 380 → absurd.

Thu, 30 Apr 2026 18:09:53 +0000

Why the Equation “Wait: likely t in years, T(t) in °C added” Could Be Misleading — And the Alert Over T(50) = 380°C Is Unfounded In climate science and long-term forecasting, modeling temperature rise is critical — but not all models are equal, and precision matters. One common concern arises when simplified equations like T(t) = 0.15×t² + 0.1×t are used to project climate temperature increases over decades. While these models are easy to grasp, they risk oversimplification — especially when extrapolating to large values like T(50). ### The Problem with Simplified Growth
Consider the equation described:
“Wait: likely t in years, T(t) in °C added.”
This frames temperature change as a deterministic quadratic function of time:
T(t) = 0.15×t² + 0.1×t Such models assume a constant rate of acceleration, which may suggest surging temperature increases over decades. For example, evaluating at t = 50:
T(50) = 0.15×(50)² + 0.1×50 = 0.15×2500 + 5 = 375 + 5 = 380°C
An absurdly high value that contradicts established climate science and renders the model physically implausible.